The Drastic Decline in Mainline Churches: A Warning for Other Churches
and the verdict:
I have just read where the Presbyterian Church, USA (PCUSA) lost 102,791members for the year ending December 31, 2012. This is a more than 5% decrease from the previous year, and the biggest decline since the Presbyterian Church US (PCUS) and the United Presbyterian Church USA (UPC, USA) merged thirty years ago in 1983. The membership of this denomination, which stood at 3,131,228 at the time of the merger, now stands at 1,849,496, or a 41% drop in its thirty years of existence. The antecedent denominations to today’s PCUSA peaked in 1965 with 4,254,597 making the losses suffered since then a whopping 56% drop. This is not a decline; words like “disaster,” “exodus,” and “nosedive” come to mind.
For conservatives, however, the big elephant in the room is that they are not doing much better. I am a missionary to Africa about to complete a one-year home assignment. As I travel from one Evangelical Presbyterian Church (EPC) or Presbyterian Church in America (PCA) church to another, I find congregations that look like retirement homes. In some of them, there will be one couple with children that have to be taken to the Baptist church for youth activities.
and the verdict:
The PCA boasted for years that it was the fastest growing denomination in the country, but it was all transfer growth; when the transfers from the PCUSA stopped, so did growth for the PCA.